There was much rejoicing in Rider Nation when Craig Dickenson was shown the door and replaced by Corey Mace. After two seasons that ended in absolute misery there was hope on the horizon. And the early results were extremely positive. But after not winning a game in two calendar months (also known as pulling a Dickenson here in Saskatchewan) its fair to ask, are we actually on the road recovery or are we still stuck in an endless cycle of misery?
Side note: Being a Rider fan in general is a commitment to an endless cycle of misery. Just follow the team history through 1956, 1972, 1976, most of the 80s and 90s, 2004 and 2009. Better yet, don't go back and remember those. For today I’m focused solely on the recent history.
To
give a clearer indication on whether we have progressed under Mace let’s look
at the the statistical numbers between 2023 and 2024:
After 13
games |
2023 |
2024 |
Difference |
Wins |
6 |
5.5 |
-0.5 |
Avg
Margin of Defeat |
18.7 |
5.9 |
+12.8 |
Points
For |
275 |
333 |
+58 |
TDs |
25 |
33 |
+8 |
Pass yds |
3479 |
3671 |
+192 |
Rush Yds |
1084 |
1023 |
-61 |
Sacks
Allowed |
39 |
24 |
-15 |
Points
Allowed |
389 |
330 |
-59 |
Yds
Allowed |
4642 |
4552 |
-90 |
Sacks |
27 |
31 |
+4 |
Turnover Ratio |
-7 |
14 |
+21 |
Penalties
yds |
839 |
852 |
+13 |
A few observations:
In terms of winning we are about the same. But the average margin of defeat shows we are a much more competitive team. Last year when we lost, we tended to get embarrassed. Like finding out at the exact moment your pants fall down that you forgot to wear underwear type of embarrassed. This year we are hanging with every team we play.
Offense is showing improvement. I would argue that’s more to do with QB play than OC at this point. Turns out having capable QBs like Harris and Patterson improves your offensive firepower over Dolegala and Fine. Most telling for me is that we are scoring more TDs. Those had almost become an extinct species in previous years. The other big thing is sacks being way down. When you put that in context of having almost every starter on the 6 game and playing basically a new combination every week that is amazing. I know improved QB play helps the line but don’t tell me coaching doesn’t impact things. OL Coach Edwin Harrison may be one of our best offseason additions. The one negative is there that has been no improvement in our run game.
I was most surprised by the defense. Obviously I expected turnovers and sack to be up but given our complete inability to stop the pass I was a bit surprised to see we are allowing less yards. I must have successfully repressed how bad last season was. To really understand our D you have to break it down. D-line gives you reason for a ton of hope. Micah is playing like man half his age. Cox and Carney are stepping up. Also remember that our best lineman in Lanier remains our as do Albright and Dabire (who are important rotation guys). Linebackers are steady and solid. They quietly take care of business for the most part. Secondary is where the concern is Milligan is playing at an MOP level. Sayles is a reliable starter more often than not. The rest of that secondary is a liability more often than not. And you can’t even blame the issues on injury… these are our anticipated starters. There is no miracle cure sitting on the IR waiting to heal up and save the day.
On
the whole, I hope this breakdown helps alleviate a bit of the doom and gloom.
Don’t get me wrong, losing still sucks and we need to start seeing some improvement.
But we are definitely better than last year even if the standings don’t reflect
it. There are many valid criticisms of Mace at this point but he does have this team trending in a positive direction.
Totally agree we are better. The one thing I would add is so is everyone else. The last 5 games include 4 divisional contests. BC late in the season will be tough. The Elks in Edmonton is not going to be a cakewalk. That leaves 2 with the Stamps & the 1 home game vs the East with Ottawa. I expect we haven't seen the end of close contests.
ReplyDeleteNice post. Thanks
ReplyDeleteBC is getting tougher to figure out. Their OL is bad so teams that blitz them have been shutting them down. But Rourke and those WRs could turn it on at any time. Edmonton is going to be tough. Those 2 with Calgary are massive games.
ReplyDeleteI looked at the full pdf cfl stats last week. We are still top 3 or 4 in defensively in most stats. Ironically one team is now worse than us at giving up long passes and that's the surging Elks. Middle of the pack on O. The stats point to a team that should be about 2 wins better than now. But if you could quantify making the play when it counts in the last 3 min into a stat, I'll bet we'd be last.
ReplyDelete