Saturday the Riders are in
Edmonton to face the 8-8 Eskimos. The Riders will be looking to lock down a
home playoff game and keep their hopes of first place alive (though they are
admittedly slim as they rely on the Bombers being useful). The Eskimos have
really nothing to play for as they are already locked in as the crossover team.
Trevor Harris returns so they will be looking to get their offense clicking
again but other than pride they really aren’t playing for much. Weird schedule
this year as this will mark the first meeting of the year of these 2 teams. I
think the CFL had a bit more dramatics in mind for this season ending
head-to-head. Way to screw that up Edmonton!
Despite having nothing to
play for, I expect the Esks to put up a strong fight. They actually have a
pretty solid defense and with getting a healthy Harris back they have enough
offensive weapons to be dangerous. Last week we played down to the level of the
inferior Lions and slept through half that game. Edmonton is a better team and
will make us pay if we try doing that again. We have a chance to finish in 1st
place and be one win away from the Grey Cup (something we haven’t done since
2010) … it would be nice if we showed up with intensity matching the size of
the opportunity.
Our offense will need to
actually show up at kickoff as opposed to having a leisurely nap and then
deciding to start trying part way through the game as they have been. In our
last 3 road games we have scored a total of 9 first quarter points… compare
that to a total of 32 second quarter points. We have the ability to score we
just choose to make life difficult on ourselves by not flexing that ability
until later in the game. It would be nice to start correcting that now so we
are good to go for the playoffs.
The primary challenge you
face in the Eskimos is an aggressive pass rush. Lots of blitzes, lots of
pressure, lots of guys who can get after the QB (they have 4 players with 5+
sacks). O-line will need to have a strong game. We also (and I know I say this
every week) need to run. The Esks are #1 against the pass but #5 against the
run. If you just drop back and try to beat them through the air, you play into
their strength as pass rushers. Use Powell to slow down that rush. Also, given
the aggressive front there should be holes for Fajardo to exploit with his
legs. The other way to slow things down is slow, patient drives to wear down the
d-line. If the deep shots are there don’t be afraid to take them but more
important to take what they give you and string together long drives. If you
keep pounding at them and make them work, a team with nothing to play for with
eventually check out. You can’t fake caring. I love that Arceneaux is back for
this game. Facing a blitz heavy team, having vet receivers who can read the blitz
and adjust their routes to help their QB are import. Look for a lot of Manny, Roosevelt
and Watson.
The Eskimo offense features a
ton of talent with guys like Harris, Ellingson, Daniels and even Collins. The
problem is that their offense is built around a core philosophy of complete avoidance of the
endzone and reliance on FGs. Bold strategy Cotton. The Esks have 32
TDs (second least) and 46 FGs. By comparison the Riders have 46 TDs and 35 FGs
(And we complain that we settle for too many FGs). The Esks are 47% in the redzone
second only to the RedBlacks. The Esks allow the least sacks, due in large part
to Harris’ quick release. So it will be tough to get pressure on him but we
need to try. He’s just back from injury and wanting to make sure he’s good to
go for playoffs so he’ll be trying to avoid any contact. We need to takeaway
those quick releases and force him to hold the ball longer to give our D-line
(bolstered by the return of Micah) a chance to get there. With Gable out Shaq
Cooper will be the RB and I actually think he offers the Esks more explosive
ability out of the backfield. Gotta keep him in check. What I really want to
see is us set the tone physically. The Esks are playing for pride. If we hit them
hard and hit them often they will eventually wear down and check out.
This game will feature the
two most penalized teams in the CFL. For the love of god Al Bradbury better not
be assigned to this game or it make take 5 hours to complete. We need to be disciplined
and not retaliate when the Esks do stupid things. Let them hurt themselves. Let
their coach hurt the Gatorade jug. Stay cool. Be smart. Be physical. That said I'm already calling that Marshall takes his usual 15 yarder and AC Leonard gores offside at least twice. It's gonna happen.
This is not gimme game. If we
walk in there and half ass it, we could lose. But here’s a dose of reality for
you. The Esks may be a .500 team but 7 of their 8 wins have come against the 3 teams
who are eliminated from the playoffs. Their only other victory was week 1 over
the Als… who were still starting Antonio Pipkin at that point. Remember how
awful he was? Point being, the Esks are better than the bad teams but not on par
with the good ones. So that leaves a good team playing for first place versus a
not good team playing for pride. We should win. Based on how this season has
gone I’m already mentally preparing myself for a game that we make way more
difficult than it needs to be. It will take another late game sprinkle of Jesus comeback but in the end…
Riders by a Roosevelt TD
2 comments:
My heart can't take any more games like this and it's STILL NOT THE PLAYOFFS!
Yeah the old ticker is going to have a rough November.
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