Last bye week I did a feature comparing where the 2019 Riders were at as compared to the 2108 ones under Chris Jones. Given
that we are just coming off our last bye week and about the start the final
third of the regular season I thought it would be good to check back in on that
comparison. This idea for a Monday post narrowly beat our one where I was going to do
an ode to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and just have like 25 gifs of people choking.
After
12 Games
|
2018
|
2019
|
Difference
|
% Change
|
Wins
|
7
|
8
|
+1
|
|
Offense
|
||||
Points
|
303
|
320
|
+17
|
+6%
|
Offensive TDs
|
15
|
30
|
+15
|
+100%
|
Passing Yards
|
2509
|
3116
|
+607
|
+24%
|
Rushing Yards
|
1314
|
1343
|
+29
|
+2%
|
Sacks allowed
|
14
|
23
|
+9
|
+64%
|
Turnovers
|
23
|
18
|
-5
|
-22%
|
Defense
|
||||
Points allowed
|
303
|
278
|
-25
|
-8%
|
Passing Yds allowed
|
3146
|
2701
|
-445
|
-14%
|
Rushing Yds allowed
|
1118
|
1140
|
+22
|
+2%
|
Sacks
|
29
|
36
|
+7
|
+24%
|
Turnovers
|
31
|
15
|
-16
|
-52%
|
Special Teams
|
||||
Punt Return Avg
|
13.8
|
8.5
|
-5.3
|
-38%
|
Opponent Punt Ret Avg
|
8.7
|
17.3
|
+8.6
|
+99%
|
Kickoff return avg
|
23.8
|
27.7
|
+3.9
|
+16%
|
Opponent Kickoff Ret Avg
|
20.3
|
18.9
|
-1.4
|
-7%
|
Net punt avg
|
34.6
|
35.5
|
+0.9
|
+3%
|
Penalties
|
94
|
130
|
+36
|
+38%
|
Players Dressed
|
63
|
64
|
+1
|
+2%
|
The first thing of note is that we
currently have one more win than this time last season. The little extra cushion
is good because last year we went 5-1 down the stretch and I think our schedule
is tougher than last year. Last year the big key was that we were 7-3 against
western opponents. We currently sit at 3-2 with 5 division games left. Our odds
of a second consecutive home playoff game ride on winning at least 3 of those…
that and hoping the Bombers continue to blow big leads.
Offensively the numbers are obviously
way up. Though take that with a grain of salt because saying we are way better on
offense this year is like saying someone is way taller than Weston Dressler. I think
a big key has been limiting the turnovers. Sacks allowed are up but that’s because we
are actually running plays this year that may result in a sack instead of exclusively
running inside runs and hitch screens. We’ve seen how hot and cold this offensive
can be so consistency will be the key going forward. We can’t afford to regress
back to those 1 offensive TD games.
I continue to be impressed by how our
defense is grading out. Its weird to me because to the eyes it would seem last
year’s D was better. But if you exclude turnovers and defensive TDs, this year’s
D is actually performing better. Less points allowed, less passing yards and
more sacks. Jason Shivers is not as creative or unorthodox as his mentor but he’s
shown the ability to call a solid D, even with rotating parts along the D-line.
I’ve already spoken at great length
about our special teams. Kickoff stuff is great. Punting stuff is a stress inducing
rollercoaster ride. The pace of improvement has been disappointingly slow (especially
when our head coach’s specialty is special teams) but it is improving. I think
Chad Geter is a big boost to our coverage unit. I still struggle with how we
suck so much at punt returns when we are so good at kickoff returns. I just
hope that a certain punter doesn’t take issue with my “made up stats” that don’t
attest to his greatness.
The one thing that is super concerning to
me is the massive increase in penalties. Its not even subtle anymore. I would
have lost money if you would have bet me that Chris Jones would run a more disciplined
operation (though I guess most of his “creativeness” came off the field). This is one area that needs to be cleaned up in a hurry. I notice it the most in the
secondary but it is happening across the whole team. In 2018 we took 137 penalties total, we already have 130 through just 12 games. Dickenson needs to reign
the guys in a bit.
I honestly did not expect us to be where
we are now coming into the season. I definitely didn’t think we’d be where we
are after Collaros got Lawrenced (yes he’s now done it so many times that it
qualifies to use as a verb…).
5 comments:
When it comes to Penalties which starts with 'P', remember thusly: Proper Practice Prevents Piss Poor Performance.
The turnover differential change at -11 from last season is something I would have expected to impact us more significantly than it has. Looking back at your analysis at the 6 game mark we better off than we were as we were -9 at that point, a trend that could not continue. Hopeful the improvement in turnover ratio can be duplicated with a similar improvement in penalty reduction.
Nice analysis Prophet.
Above comment by Dan
Bryce - you're right. Prevention of penalties starts in practice.
Dan - I think the key is that we are giving the ball away less. You can win games without getting a turnover easier than you can win games while giving the ball away. I hope the upward trend there continues
It would be unrealistic to expect the turnovers on defence to be near what we had last year. First of all we had 3 guys - Jefferson, Eguavoen & Antigha who accounted for over half of the TD's scored on a record tying performance. But the team overall is much better starting with the QB position. Had Lawrence not been Lawrence who knows how this year would have gone. Certainly I hated to see Collaros get injured but I never had much faith in him being what he has been since his injury in 2015 - namely injured a lot & not the same player anymore. The stats bear that out. Tough schedule - maybe. But the Bombers have the toughest schedule playing teams who at present have a 70% winning percentage down the stretch, Stamps play teams with a 57% tally & Rider opponents coming up have a 45% winning %. I see a home playoff game.
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