Saturday will be a first for one team.
Either the Riders will get their first road win of the season or the Lions will
get their first home win of the season. It’s a big game for both teams. Many
are tossing around the term “must win” for the Riders but I don’t buy it.
Obviously this is a game we should win and need to if we plan on being
competitive in the West but we could survive a loss and still sneak into the
playoffs. BC on the other hand… this is damn near must win for them. A loss
puts them at 1-6 having lost the season series to Edmonton and then us. That is
a big hole. They will be desperate and a road trip to BC will be a different
environment than a home game.
This will be a game of adjustments.
Teams won’t radically change what they did from last week but will look to add
wrinkles to either shore up areas of weakness or take advantage of something
they saw on film. BC has a lot to shore up (which is putting it mildly) but the
Riders have a lot that can be cleaned up as well.
Let’s start with the offense. I can’t help
but open with praise for our O-line. This will be the 5th different grouping
of starters in 6 games with Dan Clark as the only guy to start every game
(hands up if you predicted the guy recently in a car accident would be the most
durable one). I won’t say they have been playing at an elite level but our QB
isn’t getting killed (well I guess technically I need to say that the only time
our QB is getting killed is when he’s illegally headhunted while sliding on a run
play, but that’s not on the OL). Many people fretted about our depth coming
into the season. I personally didn’t get that criticism as our depth is as good
as its been in years. But guys like Shepley and Vaughn have stepped up. Even
Schram has been serviceable when needed. Getting Bladek back should be a boost.
The good news is that BC’s D-line is not
very good. Most people focus on how bad the O-line is (and rightly so as their
protection is about as rigid as a wet Kleenex) but the D-line has also been
pretty bad. They have just 7 sacks in 6 games (Charleston has 8 in 5 by himself).
We need to take advantage of that. For all their faults BC does have decent run
D but we need to stay committed to the run and stay balanced. That will allow
us to really attack when we choose to pass as Fajardo should have the time he
needs. The other thing we need to take advantage is the massive mismatch on the
corners. Our WRs (Evans and Manny) are big and talented. Their corners are of
average height and make Solomon Means look ok by comparison in terms of their
talent. Let’s not wait until late in the game to attack that. If they roll
coverage to Evans to compensate for last week then send Moore on a seem or feed
Manny on the other side. We have the most pass plays of 30+ yards and BC offers
us the chance to pad that lead. I really don’t think we need to change much offensively
from last week other than to not take a second quarter nap.
Defensively we got some things to fix.
There were too many long runs, too many easy completions and too many missed tackles
last week. Our offense managed to pick up the slack and the D did hold them to
FGs but a QB like Reilly will eventually make you pay for giving up freebie
yards consistently (assuming he is able to peel himself off the turf). We need
more disruption from our front 4. Hughes had a monster game but it would be
nice to see someone else step up. Front 7 needs to make sure tackles the first
opportunity. Had we done that last game BC’s yardage would have been cut in
half. BC averages just 14.5 points per game at home. Let’s keep it that way. Hammer
Reilly, make sure tackles and avoid giving up the big play. That’s the recipe
for success. Adding to our woeful league low 4 takeaways would also help. Word
is Solomon Means is being benched in favour of LJ McCray. I know next to nothing
about McCray but already like him better.
Special teams has been slowly improving
after a dreadful start to the season. Big returns were a factor last game and
can be again. We need our kick coverage to be sound. It would help is Jon Ryan
could not boom massive rouges… even though I’m sure there is a large crowd of Rider
fans at BC Place waiting to give him a standing O if he does.
This shouldn’t be as easy as it was at
home but man... we should win this. We have a clear advantage on both sides of
the trenches and should be able to take advantage of that on both sides of the
ball. Only thing I see hurting us would be turnovers or a big kick return but
Fajardo is actually pretty good at protecting the ball (provided you ignore
what happened against Calgary) and BC is not great on special teams. God I hope
I don’t end up regretting typing that.
It will be closer and require more
fight but in the end…
Riders by 10
Let’s just all hope that we escape this
weekend’s action without a fabricated and ridiculous mascot controversy
6 comments:
Desperate doesn't begin to describe the Lion situation. Lose & not only do they lose both season series with the Riders & Eskimos but go 0-6 vs the West & down 1 game already to Stamps & Bombers. The good news is the schedule the rest of the way is heavy with East opponents. The bad news is they pretty much have to sweep the East AND win some games left in the West. Lose & they're all but done.
I have to agree. Riders should win this one. How long before Lemon joins the Lions but won't help this week. The DT's have been a disappointment IMO. We also have our own issues @ CB. Why did it take so long on Means? Probably considered the best we had so McCray????? Marshall has been susceptible to the long pass & Gainey has had his moments as well. I think Purifoy has been our best guy there this year. Take away the Argo game & we've given up 32 pts/game on defence & ST's. That's hardly elite. I still like the RIders but this is a very desperate team they're up against.
Win today & could go on a roll with Hamilton (sans Masoli), Als & RB's up next.
Here's my parting thought regarding our 'special' teams:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlG0L28NNXQ
Scored TD, FG, Rouge, 1 & 2 point converts, Safety & TD Return. Lions are awful, even worse than Argos. They're right - nothing rhymes with Orange.
Bryce - That is perfect
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