After getting embarrassed
out west, the Riders will get another crack at the Lions, this time on home
turf. If you were a big enough sucker for punishment to watch all of the last
game, you have little reason to be hopeful for the encore. I mean even the schedule
makers are against us as the Sunday night start time precludes most of us from
even drinking this one pretty. There is only one thing that is prevent me from
limiting today’s analysis to “We’re screwed” and ending it right there. That
thing that provides me a shred of hope (that in true Rider fashion is likely to
be smashed to smithereens come Sunday) is that the Riders are a completely
different team at home.
Well I guess I should
qualify that last statement… the Riders’ Offense
is completely different at home. The defense is what it is regardless of
location and what it is, isn’t all that great… but more on that later. It’s
pretty obvious that all hopes in this game rest on our offense. I put the odds
of our defense grinding out a close, low scoring victory right up there with
the odds of the Cleveland Browns winning the Super Bowl, I mean sure I suppose
it could technically happen but... On the road our offense couldn’t find the endzone
if they were placed right beside it and pushed in its general direction.
They are averaging 13.7 points on the road (a figure that drops to 8.7 if you
exclude the 2 garbage time TDs from Bridge). But at home, they seem to be drawn
to the endzone like an O-lineman to an all you can eat buffet. 38.3 points per
game at home and never less than 37 points over our 3 home games. BC’s Defense is
certainly better than the previous 3 we faced at Mosaic but as I said, there is
hope in this fact.
So how do we move from
theory to reality in terms of a potent offense? Three pretty basic steps. #1
Keep Glenn upright. With Dan Clark out it seems that we are moving to 3
imports with Dennis moving to guard and Campbell taking over at tackle (We can
debate the status of Canadian OL depth another time). We need them to step up and
actually give Glenn some time. Also, if they aren’t giving them time, our OC
needs try a foreign concept called adjusting and roll Glenn out to move his
launch point. Or try some screens/swing passes. #2 Run the ball. I have
probably written this phrase more than anything else over the past year and
half. By now you would think I would have resigned myself to the fact that it
is futile but I guess I’m stubborn. Our offense works best when Marshall is
chewing up the yards. When he gets the minuscule 5 carries he got last week,
our offense becomes 1 dimensional and predictable. #3 Stretch the field I
am admittedly not the biggest Brandon Bridge cheerleader but I’ll give him
credit for being smart enough to realize that throwing it deep to your
playmakers once in a while is a good idea. If all you are going to do is 8 yard
passes (especially on 2nd and 10) then we might as well save
Roosevelt and Carter’s salary because they aren’t needed here. The famous Kevin
Glenn dink and dunk only works if you occasionally stretch the field to back
the defense off. I think we need 28 points minimum from our offense to have a
fighting chance in this.
As for the defense… well
just try not to embarrass yourselves too much. As painful as it was to watch
them last week, at least they managed to force a lot of FGs. I hate being this
negative but I realistically think that's the best we can hope for. Jennings will
be back and I guarantee they will want to showcase what the combo of his arm
and Chris Williams’ speed can do. I think we need to do 2 things to give us a
chance given that my assumption is we will be giving up a lot of passing yards.
First we need to not be such wussy babies in the trenches. BC’s O-line is not
that good. It’s one of their few weaknesses. Rather than making them look like
all-stars by sending 3 or 4 to go hug them gently for a bit, let’s attack them and expose the weakness. Minter
is out which means we likely go with an all Canadian interior, not that it
matters much as our interior overall is mediocre at best (certainly an issue).
We need pressure on Jennings and we need him to have to throw quick. If he has
time, his receivers will obliterate us. The second thing we need to do is not
get bullied on the ground. This certainly starts up front but as a unit the 200
rush yards we gave up last week is an embarrassment even by our low standards.
We need to plug that up.
I am maintaining my
conviction that until the Riders prove otherwise, unless they are playing an
East team at Mosaic then bet against them. I would love if they defied
expectations. If our offense is as potent as it has been at
home then I think we have a legitimate chance. But I won’t go as far as to
predict victory. Possible is not probable.
BC by 10…. But the good
news is I expect a first half TD from the Riders so that’s progress.
This will be the game that truly reveals who the Riders are this year. Our first matchup against a true top tier team at home. Win this and there is hope. I refuse to say lose this and there is no hope but we will very clearly be facing a huge mountain to climb.
ReplyDeleteWe now have a better idea of who the Riders can be this season. Hope they can find a way to show this side of them against Edmonton in a couple weeks.
ReplyDelete