Amid a growing storm of allegations of roster violations and
pre-pre practice squads, believe it or not there is still an actual football
game to be played. Saturday night the Stampeders are in town for game two of a
home at home set. In the continuing theme of honouring the past during the
farewell season, the team will be honouring the 80s. I’m sure we are all
eagerly awaiting the next game where they honour the 90s and Reggie Slack is
brought back (maybe he was already here on the pre-practice squad).
Much of my pre-game analysis for the last game still stands
for this game. For those who didn’t read it, the Coles Notes version is that
their offense is really good and our defense is really bad. Rather than rehash
what I’ve already wrote I’ll focus today’s post on the adjustment both teams
will need to make for the rematch.
Offensively we moved the ball pretty well last game (at
least early). The biggest issue was that we were forced to settle for FGs
instead of TDs. This has been an issue all season. Our 19 FGs are second most
in the league. Our 10 FGs (one of which was a blocked punt) are by far the
least in the League. Given that the only thing more numerous than the points
given up by our D, is the roster transactions made by Chris Jones, our only
hope at victory is scoring at least 30 points. Tough to do that without
reaching the endzone multiple times. Our biggest issue is second down
conversions. We have league low 39.4% conversion rate on 2nd down
despite a league high 7.2 avg gain on 1st down. I attribute that to
a lack on anything resembling a credible short game. We run about as often as
Steven Hawking and don’t have that go-to second down guy to move the chains. We
live and die with the medium to deep shot. When it’s working our offense roles.
When it isn’t it sputters.
Last game the Calgary defensive scheme focused on
eliminating Roosevelt and I don’t see that changing this week. That means other
players will need to step up and not just Bagg. Lawrence needs to be way more
involved (both receiving and runni… oh
who am I kidding? receiving only). We need to reignite Ricky Collins as well.
Hopefully getting Chiles back will add that extra element to our O. Calgary has
somehow given up more passing yards than us (though way less TDs) so there will
be open receivers as long as we don’t force it.
Defensively there’s honestly not much to analyze. We are
awful and will probably continue to be awful. We allow by far the most points
and we have by far the least takeaways and sacks. Unless your fantasy team has
receivers from the opposing team there’s not much to be happy about when the D
takes the field. How’s that for getting you excited for the game? I think I
have a future as a motivational speaker.
The thing is, I think we can win in-spite of our defensive
deficiencies. They didn’t play great against Ottawa yet we won. They didn’t
play great last game yet did just enough to keep it a close game. That’s
exactly what we need. Not great play just a few timely stops… that aren’t negated
by penalty. We need to get pressure above all else, if we can’t get that from
our front 4 then we need to start sending a variety of blitzes to get the ball
out sooner. We also need to create at least 1 turnover, don’t really care if
it’s a pick or a forced fumble but something.
I expect the home crowd to give the team and boost and I
expect a more competitive game. I will even go as far as to say that we’ll
probably have a slight lead at the half and it will come down to the wire. But
let’s be honest here, our only real shot at winning is a shootout and it’s far
more likely our offense stalls than theirs.
Unless the league allows the pre-practice squad on the field
at the same time as our regular defense…
Stamps by a TD
I don’t think this ending is a foregone conclusion though so
let’s be loud in the stands. The deafening roar of the Mosaic crowd will go a
long way to making us forget about the team’s troubles. It may even tip the
scales far enough in our favour to sneak out a win (I wouldn’t actually put
money on that but it is possible)
PS – Don’t forget its Tackle Hunger day so make sure to
bring a donation for the food bank.
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