Today
my coverage of the 2015 CFL Draft kicks off. In the coming days leading up to
the draft I will be doing team analysis, mock drafts, etc… but I wanted to
start off with a general introduction to what the draft is all about.
I have
been actively following the draft since 2007. That predates pretty much anyone else’s
interest in the event with exception of Duane Forde. Back then “coverage” of
the event was limited to an on-line draft tracker that was supposed to be
“live” but updated about as quickly as Anthony Calvillo runs the 40.
Incidentally kicker Warren Keane went second overall that year in one of the
biggest drafting gaffs I’ve seen (man I miss Danny Maccioccia). Thankfully
since 2007 interest in the draft has grown exponentially, as has coverage. We’ve slowly transitioned from online only to
1 televised round on a Sunday morning to multiple televised rounds on a weekday
evening. Along the way more and more fans and media are talking and writing about
it which is great.
For
those of you who may be relatively new to this whacky event called the CFL
Draft, I figured I would give a short primer on the key things you need to
know.
1) Fat Men Are King
Unlike
the NFL where pretty-boy QBs are the hottest commodity, linemen are the gold of
the CFL Draft. In the past three years, a lineman has gone first overall each
time and 17 of 25 first round picks were linemen. A large chunk of the Canadian
ratio will be filled by O-Linemen so they are always in hot demand. Stud
Canadian DTs are a rare and sought after commodity. The best linemen are also
generally attracting NFL interest these days, which further diminishes the
supply of top end linemen and thus makes them a drafting priority… unless you
are Winnipeg who have draft just 2 OL over the past 3 years (with predictable
results).
2) NFL Implications
The
top prospects in the draft will not necessarily go first in the draft because
of NFL interest. Teams want to ensure they are getting full value for their early
picks so they will shy away from players who have been drafted by the NFL or
garnered a tryout due to the risk the player may not come to the CFL for a year
or 2, if at all. If a player is actually drafted to the NFL it tends to drop
them to at least the 3rd round of the CFL draft. Examples include:
DL Christo Bilukidi and TE Luke Wilson. Guys who aren’t drafted but get NFL
looks are risky but less so than drafted guys. Drafting a player with an NFL
tryout is a real crap shoot. Some pay off immediately such Shawn Gore who a few
teams passed on in 2010 due to an invite to Packers camp but he signed with BC
later that season… making teams that passed on Gore (like the stupid
Sisco-loving Riders) look foolish. Some picks will pay off in time such as Cory
Greenwood who the Argos had to wait 4 years on while he played in the NFL but
now is likely to be a key contributor. Some picks never pay off such as Austin
Paztor who the Esks used a first rounder on in 2012 (a 1st rounder
that happened to be a key piece in the Ricky Ray trade) and is still down south
playing for the Jaguars (meaning somehow that 1st round pick has
provided less value than Steven Jyles to the Esks).
3) This Isn’t A Grandiose Event
There
is no live event. It’s a conference call between the GM’s (draft lore has it
that Don Matthews once make a draft choice from the toilet). As much as they
may say it, players’ dreams don’t actually come true on draft day. In 2012, Ben
Heenan signed a record rookie contract at somewhere between $60-70,000… top NFL
picks spend more than that on jewelry to wear to the draft.
4) Scouting Is Not Perfect
Draft
history is full of early round busts (Chris Bauman, Shomari Williams, Jade
Etienne). It is also full of later round steals (second rounders like Brett
Jones and Craig Butler; fifth rounders like Chris Getzlaf, sixth rounders like
Luc Brodeur-Jourdain). Guys like Rob Bagg weren’t even drafted (7 other WRs
were drafted that year, only two are still employed and only one has better
stats).
5) There is always surprises
The absence
of Joe Mack will likely bring the volume of nonsensical moves back to normal
levels but every year someone does something that makes you scratch your head.
Like the Alouettes using a first rounder in 2011 on a kicker they didn’t need
who wasn’t even the best kicker in the draft.
We
will see what excitement and intrigue this year’s event brings on May 12th.
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