Let’s all pray that last week was the worst
collectively performance we are going to witness (honestly short of losing
their pants or doing interpretive dance during a play I’m not sure how it could
get worse), burn the tape and move on with life.
Saturday the winless Lions come to town for
a night game against the Riders. I love night games! There is just an added
intensity in the crowd (likely correlated with added intoxication) The
stadium should be loud as we try to ensure the Lions stay winless. Between
preseason games and Mother Nature’s attempt to drown us, we haven’t unleashed
the full fury of Mosaic yet and there’s no better time than Saturday night to
do it.
Aside from the obvious (every player has to
not play like a giant sack of crap again) here are what I see as the keys to the
game…
The key weakness we need to attack
relentlessly in order to win is that BC O-line. About the nicest thing I can
say about them is that they suck less than Hamilton. They suck in run blocking
(they are averaging a league low 3.9 yds per rush). They suck in pass blocking
(have allowed 9 sacks and routinely allow opposing DL in the backfield with
relatively little resistance). Word is Kirby Fabien will replace T-Dre Player
(an awesome a ridiculously made up first name). The huge weakness is the tackle
Ryan Cave who looked beyond lost last game (not surprising for an import in his
first CFL game). Chick and Foley should have a big days against him. If our
front four can get pressure on Glenn he will do stupid things… like throw picks
to the ever athletic D-tackles (come on Tearrius keep the streak alive). BC accounts for one third of all INTs thrown
in the CFL in 2014 and consistent pressure on Glenn will help push that number
higher.
Manny Arceneaux should make his season debut
which is a huge boost to that receiving core. Without him they have a lot of
decent receivers but no game breakers. Arceneaux needs to be blanketed because
he can deliver big plays if left unchecked even for a moment. If we can limit the big play to him
then I like our secondary’s chances of contain the rest of that group. Aside
from Arceneaux the thing that scares me most is Andrew Harris. He is a good runner but
outstanding when catching the ball out of the backfield. Our LBs need to give
him no space to work with. If our D-line can occupy the OL it will free up the
LBs to swarm to him. Word is Tristan Black will see a lot more playing time (not sure
if that’s a good thing or not, but at least its not Shomari). I am not worried about Macho stepping in at HB.
He’ll be fine… for a week or two until he’s injured.
Offensively, I don’t really know what to
expect. We couldn’t handle Toronto’s D and they are nowhere near as talented as
BC. Our OL will need to play at the level we’ve come to expect if we are to
handle Smith, Taylor and Mitchell and give Duranr some time to work. I expect the OL to
show up angry and play hard. The bigger concern when dealing with BC is the
combo of Bighill and Elimimian. We know we will need a strong run game to be
effective but Allen has fumbled on far lighter contact than those 2 bring and it’s
not like Charles gives me much more confidence. I expect ball security will be priority
#1 so maybe I shouldn’t be worried but I am a bit. For as good as that front 7
is they are so far dead last in run defense which is surprising. Montreal had
success last week on the ground so we can’t be afraid to attack it.
The main weakness in that D is the same one
it has always been, safety. For years BC has struggled to fill that with spot
with someone who was evenly remotely as talented as the rest of that group.
Their big plan was to finally address that with Craig Butler but he snubbed them and
they were stuck with LaRose back there again. We need to run routes that force
LaRose to make decisions, he will make mistakes and big plays will result. Beyond
that I think that, much like the west-semifinal if Durant can use his legs (not
lots but a few times here and there) it will force the D to respect that and
open up things more for the receivers and whoever runs the ball.
One caution I will make is our blocking on punts... Hughes is a leader on teams and I'm hoping that the lack of his presence won't result in a missed assignment and a blocked kick. With a week to plan hopefully all special team assignments are crystal clear.
With Arceneaux and Fabien in the lineup I
don’t expect the Lions to be the embarrassment that we saw last week, that said
I think this game will be won in the trenches and I expect us to win that
matchup on both sides of the ball. Add the home field advantage and raucous
crowd and the end result should be a Rider win. If Getzlaf was in I'd predict a wider margin of victory but he's not so...
Riders by a late Brett Swain TD… (Ryan Phillips
will still probably complain that we ran up the score)
Well, no 'suck' this time but lots of 'suc'...maybe not quite as bad.
ReplyDeleteNo as bad as last week but if this is how much we are going to improve week to week, it will be a while before the level of suck decreases to the point where we can win.
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